
Analyse the sugar price before investing
Invest in sugar: in brief
- The price of sugar is quoted on the ICE market in New York and Europe, as well as on the LIFFE market in London.
- You can invest in sugar using contracts and derivatives such as ETFs and CFDs.
- It is essential to analyse the price of sugar using technical and fundamental analysis before investing
- Sugar trading is available online to investors through brokers.
Elements to consider before investing in this asset
Firstly, you should of course monitor movements in the American dollar rate on the foreign exchange market. It is important to remember that the price of sugar is quoted in American dollars and therefore the value of this currency will influence demand for this commodity from other countries that use other currencies and wish to benefit from an advantageous currency exchange rate. Variations in the Brazilian currency, the Real, should also be followed closely given that this country is the primary producer of sugar worldwide.
Another factor to follow when completing this analysis concerns public finances as certain prices are implemented with the objective of protecting the producers by sometimes encouraging them to produce more sugar than is necessary for the market. Therefore, subventions could exert an influence on supply and demand and therefore indirectly impact the price of this commodity.
We would also monitor climate change and meteorological events that could impact the harvest. It should in fact be remembered that the production of sugar is highly sensitive to climate and requires a lot of sun and rain. Unfavourable meteorological conditions could therefore negatively impact this production.
In the same way, health worries relating to sugar and its negative effects on health could also influence the market. Health recommendations relating to high sugar consumption could seriously impact the long term demand for this commodity.
Finally, another factor to monitor closely is the demand for ethanol as sugar is also used in the production of this alternative form of energy.
What should I know before investing in sugar?
Firstly we shall take a few moments to examine sugar and its market in a little more detail. In fact, sugar is one of the food commodities that is the most highly traded on the stock markets worldwide and its market represents nearly 52 billion dollars at present.
Sugar as a food is actually produced in two different ways, from sugar cane or sugar beet. Regarding the demand for sugar, it is also important to know that sugar is in fact far more used in industry than simply as a sweetener for other foods. Sugar is also used in beauty products for example and as an alternative energy to fossil fuels such as oil.
It is exactly this significant polyvalence of sugar that makes it such a highly appreciated asset for investors and also explains the high liquidity of this market. In fact, the sugar market is a large market and so the volatility is also very high.
Of course, this volatility also calls for prudence as it could be said to be synonymous with risk.
It can also be beneficial to be aware of sugar production around the world. In fact, this is produced mainly in certain particular countries and now we shall briefly summarise these high sugar producing countries as well as the comparative amounts they produce:
- Brazil is clearly the current leader in sugar production worldwide producing an average of 39 million tons per year.
- We then find India with 24.8 million tons per year.
- The European Union lies in third position and produces an average of 15.5 million tons of sugar per year.
- In fourth position we find China with 10 million tons.
- Finally, Thailand is in fifth position with 9.26 million tons of sugar produced per year.
It should be noted that sugar, like other agricultural or food commodities, is quoted on the American NYMEX stock market. Its quotation is therefore in American dollars.
On which markets is the price of sugar quoted?
Sugar is mainly quoted on two stock exchanges:
1. ICE Futures US (formerly NYBOT)
- The most important market for raw sugar.
- Futures contracts are denominated in cents per pound (lb).
- Contracts expire monthly and run for 12 months.
- The market code for raw sugar is SB.
2. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Europe
- The most important market for white sugar.
- Futures contracts are denominated in dollars per metric tonne (t).
- Contracts expire monthly and run for 12 months.
- The market code for white sugar is SF.
Other markets
- Sugar is also listed on other exchanges, such as Liffe (London) and SGX (Singapore).
- Trading volumes on these markets are generally lower than on ICE Futures US and ICE Europe.
How to invest in sugar?
Sugar is an important commodity that is used in many food and beverage products. As an investment, sugar can offer portfolio diversification, as well as attractive return potential. There are several ways to invest in sugar, each with its own advantages and disadvantages, and the choice of one or other of these methods will depend primarily on your level of risk aversion.
Firstly, investors can invest in sugar futures. Futures contracts are agreements to buy or sell a specified quantity of sugar at a pre-agreed price at a future date. Sugar futures are traded on commodity exchanges such as the NYMEX and ICE. Futures contracts can offer potentially high returns, but they also carry a high risk due to price volatility.
Invest in sugar with ETFs
Another option is to invest in sugar trackers or ETFs. These funds allow investors to invest in sugar without having to trade directly in the commodity markets. Trackers and ETFs invest in sugar futures or in companies involved in the sugar industry. They can offer diversified exposure to sugar, which can be an advantage for investors seeking to minimise risk.
Investors can also invest in shares of companies involved in the production or distribution of sugar. Shares in sugar companies are traded on stock markets and can offer potentially higher returns than trackers or ETFs. However, individual shares are riskier than diversified funds, as they can be affected by company-specific factors.
Trading sugar with CFDs
Finally, investors can invest in sugar CFDs. CFDs are financial instruments that allow investors to speculate on sugar price movements without having to physically buy or sell sugar. Sugar CFDs are traded on online trading platforms and offer great flexibility, as investors can take up or down positions. However, CFDs also carry high risks due to the leverage that can magnify gains, but also losses.
How to achieve a good technical analysis of the sugar price?
Before investing in sugar, the first analysis that we shall examine here is the technical analysis of the sugar price. This in fact consists of studying the stock market charts of this asset in order to identify the significant rising and falling movements.
For this we use several different types of technical indicators such as the moving averages, the MACD indicator, the pivot points, and the support and resistance technical indicators as well as the Bollinger Bands.
These indicators can be displayed directly on the charts available from online brokers but of course rely on your correct interpretation of the data which requires a certain prior knowledge. Their objective is to provide an indication as to the direction of the trend as well as its strength, the volatility of the market and also the major psychological thresholds which can lead to a reversal or acceleration in the trend.
Historical trends in the price of sugar
The historical trend in the price of sugar has been marked by numerous fluctuations. Here are a few key points:
19th century:
- Sugar was a rare and expensive commodity, mainly produced by the European colonies.
- The abolition of slavery and the expansion of sugar beet production helped to drive down the price of sugar.
20th century:
- Sugar prices remained relatively stable for most of the century.
- Two oil crises in the 1970s led to a rise in the price of sugar, as oil is an important input in the production of fertilisers and pesticides.
- In the 1980s, surplus production caused the price of sugar to fall to an all-time low.
21st century:
- The price of sugar rose sharply in the early 2000s, due to a combination of factors such as drought, growing global demand and speculation.
- The global financial crisis in 2008 led to a fall in the price of sugar, but it then rebounded.
- Since 2011, the price of sugar has been relatively stable, with a slight downward trend.
Here is a table showing recent trends in the price of sugar on the New York ICE exchange:
| Year | Average price (cents per pound) | Change on previous year |
|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 18.5 | -2.6% |
| 2015 | 15.0 | -19.0% |
| 2016 | 17.0 | +13.3% |
| 2017 | 20.0 | +17.6% |
| 2018 | 18.0 | -10.0% |
| 2019 | 13.5 | -25.0% |
| 2020 | 14.0 | +3.7% |
| 2021 | 16.0 | +14.3% |
| 2022 | 17.5 | +9.4% |
| 2023 | 18.0 | +2.9% |
Frequently Asked Questions
The global consumption of sugar is currently around 170 million tons per year and this figure grows by around 2% every year. This rise can be explained by the demographic growth, the increase in revenue per person in various countries and the development and changes in modern eating habits. Over the last ten years the global consumption of sugar has therefore risen by around 30 million tons per year.
There are various ways to invest in sugar on the stock markets. The more basic is of course to simply speculate on the price of this agricultural commodity using specific tools or derived investment products. It is also possible to invest in sugar by taking position on the price or buying shares directly on the stock market of companies in this activity sector which are quoted on the stock markets.
Understanding the market is essential. You need to analyse supply and demand, contract types and volatility. Choosing a reliable broker is crucial. Opt for a regulated broker with an intuitive platform and competitive fees. Develop a solid strategy. Define your objectives, use analysis and a risk management plan. Gain experience gradually. Start with a demo account, trade small positions and learn continuously. Get the right tools. You need a computer, trading software, real-time data and a trading account.
Among the necessary analyses to implement for studying the price of sugar and its movements we particularly note the technical analysis as well as the fundamental analysis. In fact, the technical analysis enables you to learn the strength of a trend as well as the volatility of a market whereas a fundamental analysis is based on the study of the events and exterior factors that could influence the supply and demand for sugar.


